Freeway Travel Time Prediction Using Takagi–Sugeno–Kang Fuzzy Neural Network Academic Article

abstract

• This article presents a Takagi-Sugeno-Kang Fuzzy Neural Network (TSKFNN) approach to predict freeway corridor travel time with an online computing algorithm. TSKFNN, a combination of a Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) type fuzzy logic system and a neural network, produces strong prediction performance because of its high accuracy and quick convergence. Real world data collected from US-290 in Houston, Texas are used to train and validate the network. The prediction performance of the TSKFNN is investigated with different combinations of traffic count, occupancy, and speed as input options. The comparison between online TSKFNN, offline TSKFNN, the back propagation neural network (BPNN) and the time series model (ARIMA) is made to evaluate the performance of TSKFNN. The results show that using count, speed, and occupancy together as input produces the best TSKFNN predictions. The online TSKFNN outperforms other commonly used models and is a promising tool for reliable travel time prediction on a freeway corridor. 2013 Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering.

authors

• Zhang, Yunlong

published proceedings

• Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering

author list (cited authors)

• Zhang, Y., & Ge, H.

citation count

• 40

complete list of authors

• Zhang, Yunlong||Ge, Hancheng

publication date

• September 2013

publisher

• Wiley  Publisher

keywords

• 40 Engineering
• 4005 Civil Engineering

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

• 10.1111/mice.12014

start page

• 594

end page

• 603

volume

• 28

issue

• 8

URL

• http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/mice.12014