Detection of forced climate signals. Part II: simulation results
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This paper considers some tests of the procedures for the detection of forced climate signals embedded in natural variability. The optimal filters are constructed from simulation of signals and natural variability in a noise-forced energy balance model that explicitly resolves land-sea geography and that has an upwelling-diffusion deep ocean. Filters are considered for the climate forcing of faint sunspot signals and for the greenhouse warming problem. In each case, the results are promising in that signal-to-noise ratios of unity or greater might be achievable. -from Authors