Amplified Upward Trend of the Joint Occurrences of Heat and Ozone Extremes in China over 2013-20 Academic Article uri icon

abstract

  • Abstract Climate change and air pollution are two intimately interlinked global concerns. The frequency, intensity, and duration of heat waves are projected to increase globally under future climate change. A growing body of evidence indicates that health risks associated with the joint exposure to heat waves and air pollution can be greater than that due to individual factors. However, the cooccurrences of heat and air pollution extremes in China remain less explored in the observational records. Here we investigate the spatial pattern and temporal trend of frequency, intensity, and duration of cooccurrences of heat and air pollution extremes using Chinas nationwide observations of hourly PM2.5 and O3, and the ERA5 reanalysis dataset over 201320. We identify a significant increase in the frequency of cooccurrence of wet-bulb temperature (Tw) and O3 exceedances (beyond a certain predefined threshold), mainly in the BeijingTianjinHebei (BTH) region (up by 4.7 days decade1) and the Yangtze River delta (YRD). In addition, we find that the increasing rate (compared to the average levels during the study period) of joint exceedance is larger than the rate of Tw and O3 itself. For example, Tw and O3 coextremes increased by 7.0% in BTH, higher than the percentage increase of each at 0.9% and 5.5%, respectively. We identify same amplification for YRD. This ongoing upward trend in the joint occurrence of heat and O3 extremes should be recognized as an emerging environmental issue in China, given the potentially larger compounding impact to public health.

published proceedings

  • BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

author list (cited authors)

  • Xiao, X., Xu, Y., Zhang, X., Wang, F., Lu, X., Cai, Z., Brasseur, G., & Gao, M.

citation count

  • 11

complete list of authors

  • Xiao, Xiang||Xu, Yangyang||Zhang, Xiaorui||Wang, Fan||Lu, Xiao||Cai, Zongwei||Brasseur, Guy||Gao, Meng

publication date

  • May 2022