The value of El Nino forecast methods for US winter wheat producers: Do they differ?
Conference Paper
Overview
Research
Additional Document Info
View All
Overview
abstract
The value of improved climate forecasts to winter wheat producers is estimated. Two El Nio/Southern Oscillation based forecasting methods are compared.In most regions, a five phase approach is more valuable than the more commonly used three phase approach. Economic value and distributional aspects have implications for producers, policy makers, and meteorologists.