Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: a Boltzmann Function-based Modeling Study Institutional Repository Document uri icon

abstract

  • AbstractThe COVID-19 outbreak is on-going in China. Here we estimated the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in China, outside Hubei (in China), Hubei Province, Wuhan City and outside Wuhan (in Hubei) by Boltzmann function-based analyses, which are 3342 (95% CI, 3214, 3527), 111 (109, 114), 3245 (3100, 3423), 2613 (2498, 2767) and 627 (603, 654), respectively. The results may help to evaluate the severity of COVID-19 outbreaks and facilitate timely mental service for the families of passed patients.

altmetric score

  • 2

author list (cited authors)

  • Gao, Y., Li, Z., Ying, Q. i., Long, C., & Fu, X.

citation count

  • 5

complete list of authors

  • Gao, Yuanyuan||Li, Zhongyan||Ying, Qi||Long, Cheng||Fu, Xinmiao

Book Title

  • medRxiv

publication date

  • March 2020