The Roots and Future of Putins Political System
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abstract
Russian President Vladimir Putins next six years in office and whether or not he leaves the political scene in 2024 at the end of the next term will rely on things that are out of his control: the price of oil, which largely determines the performance of the Russian economy, and the traditional structure of Russian politics, dubbed in recent years the power vertical. Putins central achievement as leader of Russia has been to build a personalist system of power consistent with centuries-old practice: his own position indispensable, cadres to handle actual policymaking and implementation, informal control and coordination of the elite, and the population held in check by patriotism and the feeling that things could always get worse.
