The Presentation of Risk and Uncertainty in the Context of National Missile Defense Simulations Academic Article uri icon

abstract

  • Risk perception and uncertainty management are important components of military decision making, especially in time-stressed and resource-limited environments. The purpose of this experiment was to understand the interaction of integrality of information, presentation mode, and information frame on situation awareness (SA) and decision-making (missile allocation) in a National Missile Defense (NMD) paradigm. Results of the information frame manipulation (expected gain v. expected loss) support earlier findings that subjects are loss averse. SA Accuracy was higher with graphical displays than alphanumeric displays. The implications for NMD are discussed.

published proceedings

  • Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting

author list (cited authors)

  • McDermott, P., Hutchins, S., Barnes, M., Koenecke, C., Gillan, D., & Rothrock, L

citation count

  • 7

complete list of authors

  • McDermott, Patricia||Hutchins, Shaun||Barnes, Michael||Koenecke, Corey||Gillan, Doug||Rothrock, Ling

publication date

  • October 2003