Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study. Academic Article uri icon

abstract

  • The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

published proceedings

  • Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol

altmetric score

  • 1

author list (cited authors)

  • Gao, Y., Zhang, Z., Yao, W., Ying, Q. i., Long, C., & Fu, X.

citation count

  • 19

complete list of authors

  • Gao, Yuanyuan||Zhang, Zuqin||Yao, Wei||Ying, Qi||Long, Cheng||Fu, Xinmiao

publication date

  • July 2020