Explaining the 2016 Vote for President Trump across US Counties Academic Article uri icon

abstract

  • AbstractWe examine how county characteristics affected voting outcomes in the 2016 presidential election, including the populist component represented by the President Trump to Mitt Romney vote difference. Different voter groups could be harmed or helped by policies proposed during the campaign, such as withdrawal from trade agreements, environmental deregulation, and spending cuts. We investigate whether average countylevel voting patterns reflected such proposals. Race and educational attainment had large statistical impacts, but economic factors and religious adherence also mattered. The Trump vote share and TrumpRomney vote margin were larger in counties with more farming and coal employment.

published proceedings

  • APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY

altmetric score

  • 10.58

author list (cited authors)

  • Goetz, S. J., Davlasheridze, M., Han, Y., & Fleming-Munoz, D. A.

citation count

  • 20

complete list of authors

  • Goetz, Stephan J||Davlasheridze, Meri||Han, Yicheol||Fleming-Munoz, David A

publication date

  • December 2019

publisher