METHODOLOGY OF BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND DECISION MAKING APPLIED TO EXTREME HYDROLOGIC EVENTS.
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Two types of statistical uncertainty were considered in this study. The Bayesian inference model is applied to a Bayesian decision model, where the decision rule is the maximization of expected net monetary benefits. A case study of determining the optimal size of local flood protection for Woonsocket, Rhode Island, was considered, using realistic flood damage and cost functions.