RAPID PROBABILISTIC HURRICANE SURGE AND DAMAGE FORECASTING USING SURGE RESPONSE FUNCTIONS Conference Paper

abstract

• In this paper, a joint probability approach is used with scaling laws for hurricane surge to rapidly develop probabilistic based hurricane surge and damage forecasts. The method presented is demonstrated along the Texas, USA coastline for Hurricane Ike, which made landfall in September of 2008. The probabilistic approach presented here is both accurate and fast, with a single surge and percent damage forecast taking less than one minute while representing more than 170,000 distinct hurricane possibilities.

authors

• Chang, Kuang-An
• Olivera, Francisco

published proceedings

• Coastal Engineering Proceedings

author list (cited authors)

• Irish, J. L., Ferreira, C., Olivera, F., Udoh, I., Song, Y. K., & Chang, K.

citation count

• 0

complete list of authors

• Irish, Jennifer Linnea||Ferreira, Celso||Olivera, Francisco||Udoh, Ikpoto||Song, Youn Kyung||Chang, Kunag-An

publication date

• December 2010

publisher

• Coastal Engineering Research Council  Publisher

published in

• Proceedings of the International Conference on Coastal Engineering  Journal

keywords

• 37 Earth Sciences
• 40 Engineering
• 4015 Maritime Engineering

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

• 10.9753/icce.v32.currents.20

start page

• 20

end page

• 20

volume

• 1

issue

• 32

URL

• http://dx.doi.org/10.9753/icce.v32.currents.20