DEVELOPING STOCHASTIC FLEXIBLE PAVEMENT DISTRESS AND SERVICEABILITY EQUATIONS.
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The development of a method of predicting pavement performance in terms of present serviceability index and four primary distress types (area and severity) and the application of the method to the design of flexible pavements are summarized. The method is based on an S-shaped performance curve. These parameters have been found for 164 pavement test sections located throughout Texas. The pavement test sections were categorized as three main types: asphalt concrete pavement on unbound base course, asphaltic concrete pavement on bituminous base course, and asphaltic concrete overlay. Data describing the pavement structure, and the traffic for these pavements, were used to develop regression models for the curve fit parameters.