CONVERGENCE CHARACTERISTICS OF 2 MONTE-CARLO MODELS FOR RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF INTERCONNECTED POWER-SYSTEMS
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abstract
The convergence characteristics of two Monte Carlo models are investigated in this paper. These two models or their variations have been used by the electric power industry. Model 1 is based on the random sampling of generator and transmission line status for each hour. Model 2 advances the generation and transmission using the next-event approach. Mathematical analysis and system studies indicate that model 2 converges slower than model 1. The simulation time for model 2 is generally more than twice the mean duration of loss of load. The CPU time per year of simulation is shorter for model 2. However, the total CPU time for model 2 is much longer than for model 1. 1993.