Predicting the risk of nephrotoxicity in patients receiving colistimethate sodium: a multicentre, retrospective, cohort study. Academic Article uri icon


  • OBJECTIVES: With increasing rates of infections caused by MDR Gram-negative organisms, clinicians resort to older agents such as colistimethate sodium (CMS) despite a significant risk of nephrotoxicity. Several risk factors for CMS-associated nephrotoxicity have been reported, but they have yet to be validated. We compared the performance of published mathematical models in predicting the risk of CMS-associated nephrotoxicity. METHODS: In a multicentre, retrospective, cohort study, adult patients (18 years of age) were evaluated from five large academic medical centres in the USA. Patients with normal renal function (baseline serum creatinine 1.5 mg/dL) who received intravenous CMS for 72 h were followed for up to 30 days. The development of nephrotoxicity was as defined by the RIFLE criteria. Each published model was conditioned using patient-specific variables to predict the risk of nephrotoxicity. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated using the observed-to-expected (O/E) ratio. The most significant cut-off threshold for stratifying patients into high and low risk of nephrotoxicity was identified using classification and regression tree analysis. RESULTS: A total of 106 patients were examined (mean age 53.314.9 years, 66% male); the overall observed nephrotoxicity rate was 52.8%. We identified a simple model demonstrating reasonable overall nephrotoxicity risk assessment [O/E ratio of 1.07 (95% CI=0.81-1.39)] and high sensitivity (92.9%) in predicting nephrotoxicity development in patients on CMS therapy. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a model that could be incorporated into patient management strategies to reduce the risk of nephrotoxicity in patients requiring CMS therapy.

published proceedings

  • J Antimicrob Chemother

altmetric score

  • 3.35

author list (cited authors)

  • Phe, K., Shields, R. K., Tverdek, F. P., Aitken, S. L., Guervil, D. J., Lam, W., ... Tam, V. H.

citation count

  • 13

complete list of authors

  • Phe, Kady||Shields, Ryan K||Tverdek, Frank P||Aitken, Samuel L||Guervil, David J||Lam, Wai-Ying M||Musgrove, Rachel J||Luce, Andrea M||Tam, Vincent H

publication date

  • January 2016